SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 68.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 13.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
68.13% ( 5.62) | 18.86% ( -2.44) | 13.01% ( -3.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.92% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% ( 4.13) | 42.3% ( -4.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( 4) | 64.7% ( -4) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( 2.87) | 11.39% ( -2.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.87% ( 5.9) | 36.13% ( -5.9) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.33% ( -1.95) | 43.67% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.15% ( -1.67) | 79.85% ( 1.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
| 2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.78)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 8.5% ( 1.17)3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.64)4-0 @ 4.62% ( 1.05)4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.71)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.62)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.45)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.22)Other @ 3.71% Total : 68.12% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -1.18) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.98)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.9% Total : 18.86% | 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -1.08) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.72)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.57)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.27)Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.01% |
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