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Saturday, December 21
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UN
Friendlies 1
Jun 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
CN

Uruguay
2 - 0
Cuba

Torres (27' pen.), Araujo (80')
Mendez (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pozo-Venta (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Uruguay 4-1 Nicaragua
Thursday, June 15 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 3-0 Cuba
Monday, June 12 at 12am in International Friendlies

We said: Uruguay 2-0 Cuba

Despite Uruguay's absent stars, Bielsa's men are the better side, and that quality should be evident in a routine victory for La Celeste against Cuba. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 5.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (12.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Uruguay in this match.

Result
UruguayDrawCuba
81.66% (37.699 37.7) 13.19% (-9.267 -9.27) 5.15% (-28.436 -28.44)
Both teams to score 34.73% (-31.821 -31.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-8.875 -8.88)42.8% (8.87 8.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-9.422 -9.42)65.2% (9.418 9.42)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.82% (7.916 7.92)8.18% (-7.92 -7.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.34% (16.84 16.84)28.66% (-16.844 -16.84)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.83% (-41.497 -41.5)62.17% (41.494 41.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.28% (-38.454 -38.45)91.72% (38.45 38.45)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 81.64%
    Cuba 5.15%
    Draw 13.19%
UruguayDrawCuba
2-0 @ 15.93% (10.378 10.38)
3-0 @ 13.29% (9.91 9.91)
1-0 @ 12.73% (6.65 6.65)
4-0 @ 8.32% (6.78 6.78)
2-1 @ 7.58% (-1.176 -1.18)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.993 0.99)
5-0 @ 4.17% (3.603 3.6)
4-1 @ 3.96% (1.523 1.52)
5-1 @ 1.98% (1.092 1.09)
6-0 @ 1.74% (1.567 1.57)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-2.696 -2.7)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.977 -0.98)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 81.64%
1-1 @ 6.05% (-3.532 -3.53)
0-0 @ 5.09% (1.757 1.76)
2-2 @ 1.8% (-5.096 -5.1)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 13.19%
0-1 @ 2.42% (-2.83 -2.83)
1-2 @ 1.44% (-6.114 -6.11)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 5.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Uruguay 4-1 Nicaragua
Thursday, June 15 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 1-2 Uruguay
Tuesday, March 28 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 1-1 Uruguay
Friday, March 24 at 10.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ghana 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, December 2 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Uruguay
Monday, November 28 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 South Korea
Thursday, November 24 at 1pm in World Cup
Last Game: Chile 3-0 Cuba
Monday, June 12 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Guadeloupe
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 0-1 Cuba
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 1-1 Cuba
Friday, November 18 at 11pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cuba 3-1 Antigua
Sunday, June 12 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 0-2 Cuba
Friday, June 10 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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