Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 6 |
2 | South Korea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 5.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (12.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Uruguay in this match.
Result | ||
Uruguay | Draw | Cuba |
81.66% ( 37.7) | 13.19% ( -9.27) | 5.15% ( -28.44) |
Both teams to score 34.73% ( -31.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.2% ( -8.88) | 42.8% ( 8.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.8% ( -9.42) | 65.2% ( 9.42) |
Uruguay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.82% ( 7.92) | 8.18% ( -7.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.34% ( 16.84) | 28.66% ( -16.84) |
Cuba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
37.83% ( -41.5) | 62.17% ( 41.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.28% ( -38.45) | 91.72% ( 38.45) |
Score Analysis |
Uruguay | Draw | Cuba |
2-0 @ 15.93% ( 10.38) 3-0 @ 13.29% ( 9.91) 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 6.65) 4-0 @ 8.32% ( 6.78) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -1.18) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.99) 5-0 @ 4.17% ( 3.6) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 1.52) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 1.09) 6-0 @ 1.74% ( 1.57) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -2.7) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.98) Other @ 3.19% Total : 81.64% | 1-1 @ 6.05% ( -3.53) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 1.76) 2-2 @ 1.8% ( -5.1) Other @ 0.26% Total : 13.19% | 0-1 @ 2.42% ( -2.83) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -6.11) Other @ 1.29% Total : 5.15% |
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