SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Guadeloupe win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuba in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuba | Draw | Guadeloupe |
57.22% ( 0.09) | 22.57% ( -0.02) | 20.21% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( -0.01) | 45.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( -0) | 67.96% ( 0) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.03) | 15.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.22% ( 0.05) | 44.77% ( -0.05) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.08) | 36.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( -0.08) | 73.43% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuba | Draw | Guadeloupe |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 57.22% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.21% |
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