Although Maccabi Petah Tikva cannot be entirely written off, Braga will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top and should have few problems claiming a routine victory on home soil to give themselves an advantage heading into next week's second leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 75.22%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 9.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
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