SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 10.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 2-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Braga |
10.89% ( 0.1) | 16.43% ( 0.14) | 72.67% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.55% ( -0.38) | 36.45% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.41% ( -0.42) | 58.59% ( 0.42) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.64% ( -0.08) | 43.36% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.41% ( -0.06) | 79.59% ( 0.07) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.28% ( -0.15) | 8.72% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70% ( -0.36) | 30% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 10.89% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.01% Total : 16.43% | 0-2 @ 11.25% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 9.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.65% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 72.67% |
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