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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
33.83% ( -0.05) | 28.68% ( -0.02) | 37.49% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.66% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.18% ( 0.06) | 60.82% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.14% ( 0.05) | 80.86% ( -0.04) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0) | 33.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( -0) | 70.25% ( 0) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( 0.07) | 31.23% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( 0.08) | 67.57% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.83% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.48% |
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