Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.41) 
0.2) 
