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J1 League | Gameweek 6
Apr 3, 2024 at 11am UK
Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
Kashima Antlers

Zahedi (52')
Matsuoka (23'), Grolli (85'), Yuzawa (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nono (50')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawKashima Antlers
30.16% (0.705 0.71) 28.35% (-0.191 -0.19) 41.49% (-0.514 -0.51)
Both teams to score 45.64% (0.814 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.62% (0.874 0.87)60.38% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (0.658 0.66)80.53% (-0.65700000000001 -0.66)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (1.023 1.02)36.02% (-1.022 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (1.031 1.03)72.8% (-1.03 -1.03)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.13500000000001 0.14)28.66% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (0.17 0.17)64.48% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 30.16%
    Kashima Antlers 41.49%
    Draw 28.34%
Avispa FukuokaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.73% (0.177 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.121 0.12)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 30.16%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.32% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 12.9% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 41.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 16 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, March 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, February 24 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, March 17 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-3 Kashima Antlers
Friday, February 23 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Yokohama FC
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League


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