Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.
