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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 at 5am UK
Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 1
Hiroshima


Miya (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Araki (90+6')
Nakano (28')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
23.16% (1.413 1.41) 26.01% (0.644 0.64) 50.83% (-2.06 -2.06)
Both teams to score 47% (-0.169 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9% (-1.068 -1.07)56.1% (1.064 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (-0.875 -0.88)77.17% (0.871 0.87)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (0.789 0.79)39.64% (-0.792 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (0.717 0.72)76.32% (-0.721 -0.72)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (-1.312 -1.31)22.14% (1.309 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48% (-2.016 -2.02)55.52% (2.013 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 23.16%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.83%
    Draw 26.01%
Avispa FukuokaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.12% (0.494 0.49)
2-1 @ 5.67% (0.247 0.25)
2-0 @ 3.76% (0.304 0.3)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.16% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.16%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.353 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 13.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.98% (-0.384 -0.38)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.404 -0.4)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 50.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-4 Yokohama
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, October 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 30 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, October 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 21 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League


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