Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 66.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
