J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai
We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Machida Zelvia
The last three meetings between Cerezo Osaka and Machida have yielded a combined 11 goals, and we expect another entertaining affair here.
That said, we are backing the away side to narrowly edge out their hosts at the sound of the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Machida Zelvia |
29.86% ( -0.02) | 26.41% ( 0.02) | 43.74% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0.05) |
| 46.64% ( -0.06) | 53.36% ( 0.07) |
| 25.1% ( -0.05) | 74.9% ( 0.06) |
| 67.46% ( -0.04) | 32.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.93% ( -0.05) | 69.07% ( 0.05) |
| 75.76% ( -0.03) | 24.24% ( 0.03) |
