Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
