J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 7am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
We said: Machida Zelvia 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
With two of the J1 League's form teams squaring off, we certainly anticipate a close and hard-fought encounter at the weekend, which could be split by a single goal.
The visitors will travel with confidence from three straight wins, but the league leaders have shown their quality more throughout the season and could get the job done on home turf to strengthen their position at the summit.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Machida Zelvia | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
42.33% ( -0.03) | 27.66% ( -0.01) | 30.01% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.48% ( 0.03) |
| 41.96% ( 0.02) | 58.03% ( -0.03) |
| 21.28% ( 0.02) | 78.72% ( -0.02) |
| 72.91% ( -0) | 27.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.54% ( -0.01) | 62.46% ( 0) |
| 65.12% ( 0.04) | 34.88% ( -0.04) |
