SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 33.44% | 28.28% | 38.29% |
| Both teams to score 46.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.57% | 59.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.2% | 79.8% |
| Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% | 33.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.25% | 69.75% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% | 30.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.83% | 66.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.43% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 11.97% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.28% |
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