Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
