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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 2, 2021 at 7am UK
Kincho Stadium
GO

Cerezo
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka

Nakajima (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Patric (82' pen.)
Alves (62')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Gamba Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawGamba Osaka
47.17%27.41%25.42%
Both teams to score 45.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.64%59.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25%79.75%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77%25.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02%59.97%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62%39.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92%76.07%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 47.17%
    Gamba Osaka 25.42%
    Draw 27.41%
Cerezo OsakaDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 13.68%
2-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.17%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.93%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 25.42%

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