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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Apr 14, 2021 at 10am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 2
Tokushima Vortis

Shindo (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miyashiro (15'), Nishio (90' og.)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Tokushima Vortis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 51.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawTokushima Vortis
51.03%25.76%23.21%
Both teams to score 47.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87%55.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62%76.38%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35%21.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22%54.78%
Tokushima Vortis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96%39.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24%75.76%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 51.03%
    Tokushima Vortis 23.21%
    Draw 25.76%
Cerezo OsakaDrawTokushima Vortis
1-0 @ 12.93%
2-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 51.03%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.21%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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