Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 51.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
