Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.