Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.
