Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.