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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 10, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Vissel Kobe

Croux (50'), Kitano (90+3')
Kagawa (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yamaguchi (51')
Sakai (28'), Thuler (71'), Patric (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe are yet to lose on the road this season, but after drawing their last two away matches, we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
33.07% (2.612 2.61) 27.88% (0.387 0.39) 39.05% (-2.998 -3)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)58.06% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26% (-0.607 -0.61)78.74% (0.60900000000001 0.61)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (1.459 1.46)32.7% (-1.458 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (1.597 1.6)69.25% (-1.596 -1.6)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-2.032 -2.03)28.92% (2.035 2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-2.595 -2.6)64.8% (2.596 2.6)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 33.06%
    Vissel Kobe 39.05%
    Draw 27.88%
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.704 0.7)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.61 0.61)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.304 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.273 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 11.73% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.376 -0.38)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.646 -0.65)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Yokohama FC
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Cerezo
Saturday, May 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 20 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, May 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-0 Yokohama FC
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League


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