SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.12%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
36.12% ( -0.21) | 28.61% ( 0.42) | 35.26% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.97% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
