SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gamba Osaka | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
31.3% ( -0.86) | 27.49% ( 0.32) | 41.21% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43% ( -1.43) | 57% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% ( -1.16) | 77.9% ( 1.16) |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( -1.35) | 33.38% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.99% ( -1.51) | 70.01% ( 1.51) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( -0.37) | 27.2% ( 0.37) |
