Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
38.57% ( 0.41) | 24.39% ( -0.13) | 37.05% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 59.99% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.23% ( 0.62) | 42.77% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.82% ( 0.61) | 65.18% ( -0.61) |
Consadole Sapporo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% ( 0.48) | 22.15% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.46% ( 0.72) | 55.55% ( -0.71) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.07% ( 0.13) | 22.93% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.3% ( 0.2) | 56.7% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.05% |
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