Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
