SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
45.26% ( 0.01) | 24.32% ( 0.05) | 30.42% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.27) | 44.22% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( -0.27) | 66.6% ( 0.27) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( -0.11) | 19.68% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( -0.17) | 51.68% ( 0.17) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( -0.17) | 27.51% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( -0.23) | 63.01% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.26% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.42% |
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