Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.
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