Consadole Sapporo have won three of their last four meetings with Cerezo Osaka, and with home advantage in their favour, we think that the hosts will claim another victory in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
45.21% ( 0.27)	25.09% ( 0.19)	29.7% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 55.19% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.99% (

-1.05)

48.01% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.82% (

-0.97)

70.18% (

0.98)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-0.31)

21.26% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82% (

-0.49)

54.18% (

0.49)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

-0.85)

29.9% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-1.04)

66% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Consadole Sapporo 45.21%

Cerezo Osaka 29.7%

Draw 25.09%

Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.21%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.7%