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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Oct 19, 2024 at 7am UK
KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo
1 - 2
Jubilo Iwata

Ceara (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Germain (5', 71')
Gomes (22'), Hilo (52'), Matsubara (90+3')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Jubilo Iwata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Cerezo
Saturday, October 5 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Hiroshima
Sunday, October 6 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawJubilo Iwata
44.95% (-0.215 -0.21) 25.57% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 29.48% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (-0.177 -0.18)50.16% (0.176 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (-0.159 -0.16)72.12% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.176 -0.18)22.28% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (-0.262 -0.26)55.73% (0.261 0.26)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.16% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)67.49% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 44.94%
    Jubilo Iwata 29.48%
    Draw 25.57%
Cerezo OsakaDrawJubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Cerezo
Saturday, October 5 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, October 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-0 Reysol
Saturday, September 28 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Cerezo
Sunday, September 22 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Cerezo
Friday, September 13 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-0 Cerezo
Saturday, August 24 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Hiroshima
Sunday, October 6 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, September 28 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-2 Consadole
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 4-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, August 17 at 10am in J1 League


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