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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 at 7am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
FC Tokyo

Sakai (10'), Nagai (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kimoto (49')
Phellype (31'), Bangunagande (41')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, October 8 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 4-0 Cerezo
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawFC Tokyo
36.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 27.27%35.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.009999999999998 0.01)64.83% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)65.55% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 36.84%
    FC Tokyo 35.88%
    Draw 27.26%
Nagoya GrampusDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 36.84%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.42%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, October 8 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-4 Yokohama
Saturday, October 1 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 4-0 Cerezo
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, September 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League


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