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J1 League | Gameweek 22
Sep 14, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 1
Kawasaki

Inagaki (74')
Nakatani (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tachibanada (61')
Yamane (34'), Tachibanada (43'), Schmidt (70'), Sasaki (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kawasaki Frontale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKawasaki Frontale
25.08% (-0.857 -0.86) 26% (-0.529 -0.53) 48.92% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 48.95% (0.773 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (1.375 1.38)54.52% (-1.379 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (1.133 1.13)75.88% (-1.136 -1.14)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01% (0.009999999999998 0.01)36.99% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)73.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (1.211 1.21)22.32% (-1.214 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (1.786 1.79)55.79% (-1.79 -1.79)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 25.08%
    Kawasaki Frontale 48.92%
    Draw 25.99%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.447 -0.45)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.08% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.08%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 8.25% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 12.38% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 9.29% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.173 0.17)
0-3 @ 4.64% (0.246 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.247 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.124 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.151 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 3%
Total : 48.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, August 19 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, August 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Urawa
Saturday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 10 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-4 Kawasaki
Saturday, August 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Yokohama
Sunday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League


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