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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Oct 12, 2022 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
4 - 0
Cerezo

Watanabe (48', 76', 77'), Phellype (83')
Matsuki (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Patric (80')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 8 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawCerezo Osaka
33.26% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 26.81%39.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.38% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)66.67% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 33.26%
    Cerezo Osaka 39.92%
    Draw 26.81%
FC TokyoDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.26%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, September 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 8 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, October 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Cerezo
Saturday, September 17 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-1 Cerezo
Friday, September 2 at 11.30am in J1 League


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