Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.