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J1 League | Gameweek 6
Apr 3, 2024 at 11am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)

Machida Zelvia
1 - 2
Hiroshima

Ohashi (82' og.)
Shibato (19'), Shimoda (54'), Dresevic (70'), Oh (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ohashi (31'), Mitsuta (55' pen.)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, March 30 at 4am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
28.73% (0.495 0.5) 26.51% (-0.211 -0.21) 44.75% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 50.16% (0.923 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (1.048 1.05)54.28% (-1.043 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (0.869 0.87)75.68% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14% (0.941 0.94)33.86% (-0.938 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47% (1.003 1)70.53% (-1 -1)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.32599999999999 0.33)24.15% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.458 0.46)58.47% (-0.454 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 28.73%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44.74%
    Draw 26.51%
Machida ZelviaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.81% (0.134 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.73%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.25% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.087 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, March 30 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Urawa
Friday, February 23 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League


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