Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
