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J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 28, 2022 at 6am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Notsuda (58')
Fujii (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Hiroshima vs. Cerezo
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Urawa vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
47.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.41% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.19% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)59.52% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)79.87% (0.012 0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)59.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)39.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)76.35% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.39%
    Nagoya Grampus 25.19%
    Draw 27.41%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.39%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.19%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, May 21 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Hiroshima
Friday, May 13 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Reysol
Tuesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Hiroshima
Friday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Hiroshima
Sunday, April 17 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 21 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, May 14 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Tuesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Thursday, April 28 at 11am in J1 League


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