Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
