Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
39.84% | 29.11% | 31.05% |
Both teams to score 43.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.32% | 62.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.77% | 82.23% |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% | 30.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% | 67% |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.41% | 36.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.62% | 73.38% |
Score Analysis |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
1-0 @ 13.26% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 1.56% 4-1 @ 0.91% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.33% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.1% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.88% Total : 31.05% |
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