J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 18, 2022 at 11am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
45.85% ( -2.62) | 26.78% ( -0.26) | 27.37% ( 2.88) |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( 3) |
| 44.02% ( 2.72) | 55.98% ( -2.72) |
| 22.92% ( 2.17) | 77.08% ( -2.16) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 75.63% ( -0.05) | 24.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.23% ( -0.07) | 58.77% ( 0.07) |
| 64.15% ( 4.01) | 35.85% ( -4.01) |
