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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 18, 2022 at 11am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
2 - 1
Cerezo

Notsuda (79'), Vieira (85' pen.)
Shiotani (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendes (54')
Toriumi (36')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawCerezo Osaka
45.85% (-2.62 -2.62) 26.78% (-0.264 -0.26) 27.37% (2.884 2.88)
Both teams to score 48.52% (3.002 3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.02% (2.721 2.72)55.98% (-2.722 -2.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92% (2.165 2.17)77.08% (-2.165 -2.16)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)24.36% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (-0.067 -0.07)58.77% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (4.007 4.01)35.85% (-4.005 -4.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (3.893 3.89)72.62% (-3.893 -3.89)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45.85%
    Cerezo Osaka 27.37%
    Draw 26.78%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 12.33% (-1.37 -1.37)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.981 -0.98)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.468 -0.47)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.225 0.23)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.957 -0.96)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.482 0.48)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.691 0.69)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.495 0.5)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.441 0.44)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.314 0.31)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 27.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, May 21 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Hiroshima
Friday, May 13 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Reysol
Tuesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 Hiroshima
Friday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Cerezo
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Urawa
Wednesday, May 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 21 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, May 14 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, May 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Cerezo
Tuesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League


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