Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
