Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.