Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
