Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.