Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.