Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.