Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
