Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.