Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.