Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.